false-consensus effect During this time of pandemic, I am seeing a spinning up of negative social media posts about Trump from his opposition. (Even worse than when I wrote Gotcha jerks part I<\/a> & part II<\/a>) And an equally defensive amount from his party members. My guess is he will get about the same turnout if this continues just from voters being upset at his unfair* treatment by the opposition. <\/p>\n\n\n\n * Unfair: they will think no one deserves that harsh treatment. Nevermind Obama and Hillary got the same level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Sharing links that mock a caricature of the Other Side isn\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t signaling that we\u00e2\u20ac\u2122re somehow more informed<\/strong>. It signals that we\u00e2\u20ac\u2122d rather be smug assholes than consider alternative views. It signals that we\u00e2\u20ac\u2122d much rather show our friends that we\u00e2\u20ac\u2122re like them, than try to understand those who are not.<\/p>The \u00e2\u20ac\u02dcOther Side\u00e2\u20ac\u2122 Is Not Dumb<\/a><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n I suspect these attacks make Trump’s opposition think good people in no way can justify voting for him. Even as his supporters think only deplorable people would vote against him given these attacks. Both a walking blind. Because we have defined ourselves by our political beliefs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Perhaps the two most important things to know about the false consensus effect have to do with its potency. First, false consensus effects still exist for important or self-defining beliefs. Second, neither education about the false consensus itself nor large rewards for accuracy seem to eliminate the false consensus effect. This bias is hard to eliminate. <\/p>Your opinions are not as popular as you think they are<\/a><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n Then there are the bots agitating both sides making this effect worse by polluting the newsfeeds with more people agreeing. It is just a mess. And few seem aware of just how they are being manipulated by their biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Thinking back to Obama’s campaign for reelection, I recall much talk about how incompetent, evil, and terrible a president he was from his opposition. Not Romney directly but the his likely voters on social media. To the point of Romney feeling moral obligation to defend Obama as not that bad of a person to his […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"activitypub_content_warning":"","activitypub_content_visibility":"","activitypub_max_image_attachments":4,"activitypub_interaction_policy_quote":"anyone","activitypub_status":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2019,462],"tags":[3532,3257,3010,3278,3256,2158,141,994,3533],"class_list":["post-9407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election","category-psychology","tag-2020-election","tag-caricature","tag-election","tag-false-consensus-effect","tag-false-consensus-bias","tag-obama","tag-politics","tag-social-media","tag-voters"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1rUBW-2rJ","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9407\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
the tendency to assume that one\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s own opinions, beliefs, attributes, or behaviors are more widely shared than is actually the case. A robustly demonstrated phenomenon, the false-consensus effect is often attributed to a desire to view one\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s thoughts and actions as appropriate, normal, and correct<\/p>APA Dictionary<\/a> <\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/pexels-photo-3987288.jpeg?resize=275%2C413&ssl=1\")
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