{"id":6150,"date":"2011-11-20T07:00:17","date_gmt":"2011-11-20T12:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/?p=6150"},"modified":"2011-11-10T23:57:02","modified_gmt":"2011-11-11T04:57:02","slug":"quarter-the-2006-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/2011\/11\/20\/quarter-the-2006-price\/","title":{"rendered":"Quarter the 2006 Price in 5 Years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I love it when I run across a prediction about the time of the deadline.\u00c2\u00a0<strong><a title=\"Author biography\" href=\"http:\/\/www.useit.com\/jakob\/\">Jakob Nielsen<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0made one on November 20, 2006 that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.useit.com\/alertbox\/digital-divide.html\">computers will be 1\/4th their current price of $379 in five years<\/a>. Five years later is November 20, 2011. That is today!<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In areas like North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia&#8217;s advanced countries, computer cost is no longer an issue. Dell&#8217;s cheapest computer costs $379 (with a monitor) and is about 500 times as powerful as the Macintosh Plus I used to write my Ph.D. thesis. While it&#8217;s true that a few people can&#8217;t even afford <strong>$379, in another five years, computers will be one-fourth their current price<\/strong>. Would that all social problems would go away if we simply waited five years.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So $379 \/ 4 = approximately $95.<\/p>\n<p>Dell, the company Nielsen picked on, the cheapest I found was in Dell Outlet a Latitude laptop for $239.<\/p>\n<p>Walmart&#8217;s cheapest non-refurbished I found was $212 laptop. (There was a Pentium 4 refurbished desktop for $115 which is old even for 2006 but adding the cheapest $89\u00c2\u00a0monitor is still $109 too expensive. You would be better off going to a garage sale and picking up the same computer for $25 and getting a kid in the neighborhood to refurbish it.)<\/p>\n<p>Best Buy has a $205 laptop.<\/p>\n<p>I guess after five years they are getting close to half?\u00c2\u00a0Maybe this is why the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/business\/la-fi-fcc-broadband-20111109,0,7709028.story\">FCC started a $4 billion program to help close the digital divide<\/a>\u00c2\u00a0at $150 a refurbished computer + training + $10 a month broadband. Even this is not Nielsen&#8217;s a quarter of 2006 prices. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fcc.gov\/document\/fcc-and-connect-compete-broadband-fact-sheet\">FCC and &#8220;Connect to Compete&#8221; Broadband Fact Sheet<\/a>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I love it when I run across a prediction about the time of the deadline.\u00c2\u00a0Jakob Nielsen\u00c2\u00a0made one on November 20, 2006 that computers will be 1\/4th their current price of $379 in five years. Five years later is November 20, 2011. That is today! In areas like North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia&#8217;s advanced countries, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"activitypub_content_warning":"","activitypub_content_visibility":"","activitypub_max_image_attachments":4,"activitypub_interaction_policy_quote":"anyone","activitypub_status":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2272,1225],"tags":[2268,3027,2269,2271,915,2270],"class_list":["post-6150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-broadband","category-hardware-computers","tag-computer-costs","tag-computers","tag-digital-divide","tag-jakob-nielsen","tag-macintosh","tag-one-fourth"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1rUBW-1Bc","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6150\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ezrasf.com\/wplog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}