Rants, Raves, and Rhetoric v4

Day: March 10, 2016

  • Better Predictions

    13.7: Cosmos and Culture has a good article on predictions. Making good predictions isn’t just about your accuracy; it’s also about your calibration. Accuracy = how often correct Calibration = confidence level in the prediction All too often when we see predictions no one asks about the calibration. Nor do we go back and check the…